Pranab Mukherjee finally presented the much awaited Budget 2009-10 on July 6 and that too with full enthusiasm. He ought to be happy as he was the one to present the Interim Budget before the elections and there he was still standing as the FM post elections.
Well, there have many in the industry who are criticizing him for the budget that he presented. They are not happy with his “aam admi” budget. The stock markets also did not take it too well and it tanked big time. Many didn’t like the fact that the fiscal deficit had increased from 6.2% of GDP in the Interim Budget to 6.8%. I think that was one of the major concerns.
According to me, the Budget was a neutral one. Yes, it was targeted at inclusive growth. But people expected much much more. If you observe the entire budget closely, the FM has touched on all the topics that people were expecting him to mention. He has left many points incomplete.
There was a big hue and cry over the disinvestment of the PSUs. The FM just mentioned one point over it and left the most of it for the people to decipher. He could have illustrated more on it and clarified many doubts that people had in their minds. But then, he must have had his own reasons for not disclosing much on the subject.
Another thing that was missing from the Budget was the mention of FDI norms. There were many rumors doing rounds regarding the FDI norms before the Budget and the FM has left them in suspicion once again.
One more point I would like to add here was that, the FM concentrated only those schemes (like NREGS, JNNURM, Sarva Shikhsa Abhiyaan, etc) which were introduced by the UPA government when it first came to power in 2004. The budget increased the money allocation to these schemes and that was it. There was nothing new regarding such schemes. People were expecting something new to come up.
Despite these three things, I find that the budget was ‘ok’ (though it could have been better). The budget was a very good one for the “aam aadmi” which constitutes the students, salaried professionals, self-employed professionals and also for housewives. The industry and the corporates, though have given it a thumbs down.
The overall impact of the budget is going to be a neutral one on most of the sectors like automobile, banking and finance, infrastructure, oil and gas, power, steel, textiles, pharmaceuticals. The sectors which would be marginally affected would be Information and Technology and Telecom just because of the abolition of the FBT and the increase of MAT from 10% to 15%.
This year’s Budget is just the beginning for many new things to come up. The FM has just given us the glimpse of many things which would come up in the year to follow. So, I suggest we wait and watch what this UPA-II government has in store for us.
There are many questions to which answers are needed, some of them being , “Will India be able to come through shining in this bad times of economic recession?”, “Will India be able to go back to its 9% growth?”, “ Will the ever ballooning fiscal deficit come down?”, “Will the controversy and confusion over the 3G spectrum allocation ever clear?”, “Which are the PSUs which would go in for disinvestments?” and many many more.
The answers to these questions would be provided slowly and steadily. If people feel that all these questions would be answered within one hour of the Budget, then they are mistaken (I think that was probably what the people thought and hence the reason for the markets to crash post budget).
In the end, I would just like to say something to the FM,
There are a lot of expectations from the UPA government this time around and most of us sincerely hope that the government will help India come out stronger and brighter in this global economic meltdown. Pranabda, you have done a good job so far but the job is still half done and we expect you to finish the job in a way which is acceptable to all the Indians and not such some sectors.
